Russ Carnahan just sent out a desperate plea for money.In the interest of mocking Russ Carnahan, I have to take exception to 24thState. When you're paying your volunteers $9/hr (see below), you have a significantly higher burn rate. Because Russ has to pay his canvassers, he has less money available for advertising; therefore, he sends out a plea for cash.
In a D+7 district, Carnahan knows he's in deep trouble. But don't take my word for it. Take his.
From: "Russ Carnahan "Get that? Believe it or not, this race is coming down to the wire. It's an interesting way to characterize a district that isn't listed on any of the 87 House districts supposedy in the toss-up category.
Date: October 11, 2010 9:35:42 AM CDT
Subject: I’m not kidding
We have 22 days left till the election and this race is heating up.
Ed Martin has put out his unofficial third quarter fundraising numbers – he raised over $400,000 this past quarter and has raised $1.2 million so far in this campaign provoking the National Republican committee to promote him to “young gun” status.
It seems that the tea party movement has coalesced around Ed Martin and a small but dedicated group of right wing ideologues are propping him up. While Ed Martin has been busy energizing the radical right, I have been fighting to improve the lives and opportunities for the constituents of the Missouri 3rd...
Believe it or not, this race is coming down to the wire. I don’t need to tell you what is at stake in this election --- I need you to join me now and take a stand.
Believe it or not? It's almost as if Russ is saying, no one would believe that a Dem+7 district held by Dick Gephardt would be at danger when a Carnahan was running. But it is true, and as we've reported before, Russ's internals have him scared, which is why he's planning for his post-Congressional career.
On the other hand, Ed Martin (R) has Tea Party support because he's a Tea Partier. And with that he has access to a huge pool of unpaid volunteers with which to get his message out. There's no better visual explanation of the difference between Russ's volunteer pool and Ed's than this 20-some seconds of video. The first two rows on one side of the hall stand and applaud for Russ after his closing statement, but the other 150 or so people remain seated. That's not an "enthusiasm gap," that's an "enthusiasm chasm":