Friday, January 6, 2012

Analyzing Iowa

The Weekly Standard: Morning Jay: What Iowa Tells Us About the State of the Race:
Mitt Romney received eight more votes in the Iowa caucuses than Rick Santorum. The media is spinning this as if it matters who actually receives more votes. It really doesn't. This is a battle for delegates -- a long one. It's not a winner take all election to serve as Iowa governor, senator, or whatever. Thus, it's fair to conclude that both Romney and Santorum won; Bachmann, Gingrich, and Perry lost; and Paul remains a libertarian insurgent who cannot win the GOP nomination because he is too far out of step with the modern GOP.
As always, Jay Cost provides an excellent review of the numbers. He concludes: "[Romney's] advantage is due primarily to the weakness of his opposition." It certainly looks that way.

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