Sunday, April 22, 2012

Ann Wagner at the Bonhomme Republican Women's Club


Ann Wagner spoke to the Bonhomme Republican Women's Club this past Friday. Wagner talked about the importance of getting out the vote and noted that several Republicans running for state representative and senatorial seats are running unopposed.

Wagner is opposed in the Republican primary by Randy Jotte.


Thanks to Bob Keough for filming this!

Saturday, April 21, 2012

Dave Spence at the Bonhomme Republican Womens Club


Dave Spence is running for Governor of Missouri. He faces Bill Randles in the Republican primary and, if he wins the primary, he'll face Jay Nixon in November. Spence talks about his plans to revitalize the economy of Missouri. He also notes Nixon's pay-to-play approach to running the state.


Thanks to Bob Keough for filming this!

Friday, April 20, 2012

After Party: Better Courts for Missouri


Michelle Moore, executive director of the St. Louis Tea Party, introduced James Harris to a crowd of about 70 people at last night's After Party in Clayton. Harris discuses the problems with the way that Missouri selects judges and how the state would be better served by something other than "the Missouri Plan". Harris's group, Better Courts for Missouri, is working with the Missouri legislature to get a constitutional reform amendment on the ballot.

Thursday, April 19, 2012

Poll: Steelman bests McCaskill 49% to 42%

Election 2012: Missouri Senate - Rasmussen Reports:
Two of her three Republican challengers still lead Democratic incumbent Claire McCaskill in Missouri’s 2012 U.S. Senate race but by slightly narrower margins. 
The latest Rasmussen Reports telephone survey of Likely Voters in Missouri finds former State Treasurer Sarah Steelman ahead of McCaskill by seven points – 49% to 42%. Steelman had a 10-point lead a month ago.  Two percent (2%) still prefer another candidate given this matchup, and six percent (6%) are undecided. 
Congressman Todd Akin posts a five-point lead over McCaskill – 48% to 43%. Two percent (2%) like someone else in the race, and seven percent (7%) are undecided. Last month, Akin led by seven. 
The incumbent also trailed retired businessman John Brunner by seven points in mid-March, but now the two run dead even with 45% support each.  Three percent (3%) favor some other candidate, and seven percent (7%) are undecided.
I'm hoping that Hector Maldonado can get some traction. Arguably, he's already debated Clare McCaskill once, so he's battle tested:

Wednesday, April 18, 2012

Poll: Richard Mourdock takes +6% from Dick Lugar

The Mourdock campaign trumpeted the results of their latest internal poll which shows Richard Mourdock (R-IN) with 42% to incumbent Dick Lugar's (R-IN) 41% with a +/-4.9% confidence interval. The poll was conducted by McLaughlin & Associates. A sample of 400 likely Republican primary election voters in Indiana were interviewed for the poll on April 16-17.

This poll showed that Mourdock has improved his position over where he polled in January. His favorable rating, 46%, went up 11 points from where it stood three months ago while Lugar's favorable number dropped 10 points to 47%.

The most impressive aspect of the poll was where Richard Mourdock found his new support. As the chart below illustrates, Mourdock took his +6 point gain right out of Dick Lugar's hide:


What those numbers show is that there's a stream of voters migrating from Dick Lugar possibly through "undecided" and ultimately to Richard Mourdock. Because Mourdock's +6 and Lugar's -7 are both greater than the +/-4.9 margin of error, this poll shows that Mourdock has the momentum.

Going forward the challenge will be for Mourdock to maintain that momentum through the May 8th primary. Meanwhile, HotAir notes that Dick Lugar has his work cut out for him:
They had a debate and Mourdock’s suddenly outraising the incumbent and even establishment conservative magazines like National Review are ready to trade Lugar in for new blood. What’s a six-term incumbent who’s in trouble to do? Why, call in the big guns
And those big guns are Indiana Gov. Mitch Daniels (R-IN) and Sen. John McCain (R-AZ). Daniels I understand, but McCain seems like a tone-deaf choice. Seriously, if you're bringing in McCain to shore up your position with, presumably, conservative Republican primary voters, well, why not invite Arlen Specter, too?

Update: Hey, Smitty, thanks for the link from your post about Mitch Daniels!

Tuesday, April 17, 2012

EnerDel: $12 Million from Indiana Taxpayers

Photo by Egil Kvaleberg
EnerDel is a manufacturer of batteries for electric vehicles like the Think Global Pivco PIV3 car pictured at right. They've received a lot of tax payer money to research and build new "green" EV car batteries including $118 million in stimulus grants.

Dick Lugar

Sentor Dick Lugar (R-IN) was instrumental in steering that money to the "green" battery manufacturer. Lugar also earmarked $6.5 million to the company. But to top it all off, the spreadsheet data which accompanies the Good Jobs First report* (h/t: Instapundit) that came out yesterday, indicates that EnerDel recieved about $12 million from Indiana taxpayers. EnerDel was second only to Arcadia Resources, Inc. among Indiana companies receiving Indiana tax credits and rebates.

Dick Lugar's fifth largest contributor, Cummins, Inc., came in sixth in Indiana in the Good Jobs First data with tax credits and rebates totaling $5 million. A few Cummins employees also donated to Richard Mourdock (R-IN). Mourdock hopes to unseat Obama's favorite Republican in Indiana's May 8th primary.

Click on the image below for more details or download the spreadsheet and find the companies in your state that you're subsidizing.


EnerDel

Last October EnerDel's parent company, Ener1, was de-listed from the NASDAQ. This past January, Ener1 declared bankruptcy. In short, it's the Solyndra of Indiana. And just as Obama took credit for Solyndra's "success" in 2011 and distance himself from it earlier this year, we see Dick Lugar praising EnerDel when the money was awarded--touring the factory even--while going AWOL now. Indiana needs to replace him on May 8th with someone who will be accountable to Hoosier voters: Richard Mourdock.

* The Good Jobs First report "Paying Taxes to the Boss" argues that state tax credit and rebate programs for corporations as well as state grants to companies are like your boss collecting and keeping state income taxes. I would argue that such programs are incentives offered by central planners at the state capital. In short, I disagree on the spin, but agree that they need to end.

Monday, April 16, 2012

Jay Nixon's Sweet Centene Deal?


In 2011, Centene Corporation received nearly $4 million in aid from the state of Missouri according to the left-leaning Good Jobs First. Was this another quid pro quo from Jay Nixon? Cenetene is the company that's involved in what looks like a pay-to-play scheme orchestrated by Missouri Governor Jay Nixon. Gateway Pundit has more about that story.

I learned about this the $3.9 million illustrated above from Instapundit who linked David Johnston's write up: Taxed by the boss:
Across the United States more than 2,700 companies are collecting state income taxes from hundreds of thousands of workers – and are keeping the money with the states’ approval, says an eye-opening report published on Thursday.
I'm a little skeptical of that description. If true, then states have transferred some of their tax authority to private corporations while misleading the public about who is really responsible. I don't think that's really the case. When I looked at the source data, I noticed that there's a "subsidy_type" column which lists things like "tax credit" and "grant", so I suspect that the "paying taxes to the boss" is mostly spin intended to demonize corporations and management.

That said, this sort of corporate welfare needs to end. It's the modern equivalent of medieval patronage.

The Show Me Institute's Audrey Spalding wrote last week that at least Missouri is transparent about our crony capitalism:
The Pew Center on the States has published a review of the transparency of state tax incentive programs. Some Missouri legislators, of course, are big fans of tax credits — the Missouri government issued about $500 million last year, and during the 2011 legislative session, some legislators pushed very hard for legislation to create nearly another $400 million in tax credits.

Thursday, April 12, 2012

Dick Lugar's Fiscal Reality

Monthly Federal Surplus/Deficit (blue, right axis) and Total Federal Government Debt (red, left axis) since 1977
Dick Lugar was first elected to the US Senate in 1976 and began his career in Washington, DC, in January of 1977. As the chart above from the St. Louis Federal Reserve illustrates, there have been a few budget deficits on his watch--and a couple surpluses. Here are some fun facts about the fiscal reality confronting Dick Lugar as he faces a tough May 8th primary against Tea Party favorite Richard Mourdock:

  • Total federal debt when Lugar went to DC in 1977: about $670 billion
  • Total federal debt now (via US Debt Clock): about $15.64 trillion
  • Before the May 8 Indiana primary, $15 trillion of new debt will have been added on Lugar's watch
  • Total 2012 fiscal deficit to date (10/1/11 thru 3/31/12): $779 billion
  • That's over $100 billion more than the total accumulated debt of the US when Lugar arrived in DC in 1977
Dick Lugar has failed to reign in government spending. It's time for Richard Mourdock.

Update: Thanks to Smitty at the OtherMcCain for the link!

Sunday, April 1, 2012

Video: Jefferson County Caucus Outtakes


The video above covers points that I raised in my two posts so far about the Jefferson County caucus. Please read my St. Patrick's Day Death March and my take on the use of a draft call to convention for more information about those issues. The video above includes footage of caucus goers entering and exiting via the back door in violation of caucus procedures.

More to come...

Jefferson County GOP Caucus Used a Draft Call to Convention


The pictures above were taken at the March 17th Jefferson County Republican caucus. They are photographs of the Missouri Republican Party's Call to Convention; however, there's a problem with that document. It's a draft version, not the official call to convention issued by the Missouri GOP.

If you click through the photographs above, you'll notice that there are large, faded letters in the middle of each page. The "R" on the first page isn't even recognizable, but on other pages you can usually make out one to three 4" high letters of the word "DRAFT". These pages were obviously photocopied and that process obscured the "DRAFT" watermark.

Before we get to the main question--Why would a draft version of the call to convention be used?--let's recall that in Jefferson County, as in St. Charles county, the central committee attempted to ban cameras and recording devices.


As you can see in that sign--making some allowance for the spelling of "electronic"--cameras were prohibited. Perhaps part of the reason for prohibiting cameras was because the organizers did not want anyone to know that they were using a draft call to convention.

So, why use a draft call to convention?

The draft document used in Jefferson County included language that would bind the caucus's delegation to the results of Missouri's February presidential preference primary (paragraphs 3 thru 5). However, the final and official call to convention includes the following language instead of those three paragraphs and specifically precludes the binding of delegates to the February caucus results:
No delegate to the Republican National Convention shall be bound by the results of any Republican Presidential Primary held before March 6, 2012. Upon being nominated and prior to any vote to elect national convention delegates or national convention alternate delegates, each nominee for national convention delegate or national convention alternate delegate shall notify the chair of the Congressional District Convention or of the State Convention, as appropriate, of the Republican Presidential Candidate who that nominee pledges to support on the first ballot at the Republican National Convention in Tampa, Florida. No nominee shall identify more than one Republican Presidential Candidate who that nominee pledges to support if elected as a national convention delegate or national convention alternate delegate. Prior to any vote to elect national convention delegates or national convention alternate delegates, the chair shall announce the Republican Presidential Candidate who each nominee will be pledged to support. National convention delegates and national convention alternate delegates chosen at the Conventions must pledge their support to the Republican Presidential Candidate who they identified at the Convention at which they were elected and will be bound to cast their vote for said candidate on the first ballot at the Republican National Convention.
It stands to reason that a draft version of the call to convention was used in an effort to bind the caucus's delegation to Rick Santorum--the winner of the February presidential preference primary. However, Hanlon's Razor suggests an alternative explanation: incompetence. So take your pick: 1) disingenuous political maneuvering or 2) ham-handed event preparation.

More to come...
Below the "read more" link is an animation of the photographs of the draft call to convention. It runs through the pages twice. On the second iteration, the word "DRAFT" is overlaid to make the original watermark a little easier to recognize.